Since everyone's still on last night, I'm going to predict that Steven Spielberg and his "Lincoln" will be big Oscar winners next year. Of course, he and it are the perceived frontrunners, so I'm sure something will come along to knock it off. Maybe Paul Thomas Anderson's "The Master."
Anyhow, since "War Horse" had a good nomination showing (more indicative of support than wins), I expect "Lincoln" to possibly fall into a "making up for last time" Oscar run that happens.
Future three-time Oscar winners?
So I'll go out on a limb and say "Lincoln" will get 12 to 13 nominations and win Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Art Direction, Score (the same 7 "Schindler's List" won), and maybe Actor for Daniel Day-Lewis.
There are three things hurting Day-Lewis from winning (albeit, this is a year out): 1) He won for "There Will Be Blood" in 2007, 2) He has two Oscars already, and 3) No actor has ever won for performing in a Spielberg film -- top-of-my-head guess is something like 0 for 9.
But it *is* Daniel Day-Lewis, and he *is* playing Lincoln, so it's hard to not get on the bandwagon.
Although separated by 56 years and different genres and directors, both James Whales’ Frankenstein (1931) and Stanley Kubrick’s Full Metal Jacket (1987) address the issue of how creating an outcast – and taking away their identity––will cause the outcast to lash out at society. In Frankenstein this idea is showcased in the main plotline: Dr. Frankenstein gathers various body parts to create and bring to life a Creature only to have the Creature turn against him and society. Full Metal Jacket approaches the issue in the main plotline of the first portion of the film: Sgt. Hartman (or the Marine Corps) takes good-natured Pvt. Pyle and turns him into an anonymous being and then an uncaring killing machine, only to have Pyle turn on Hartman. While the films differ in how their outcasts are created––Frankenstein emphasizes a physical creation while Full Metal Jacket explores the psychological––both come to the same conclusion: taking away personality or sense of identity is wrong and the consequences of doing so are dire. Yet the films also suggest that outcasts can be subdued, either by society (as in Frankenstein) or by their own hand (as in Full Metal Jacket).