27 February 2012

Early Bets: "Lincoln" in 2012

Since everyone's still on last night, I'm going to predict that Steven Spielberg and his "Lincoln" will be big Oscar winners next year. Of course, he and it are the perceived frontrunners, so I'm sure something will come along to knock it off. Maybe Paul Thomas Anderson's "The Master."


Anyhow, since "War Horse" had a good nomination showing (more indicative of support than wins), I expect "Lincoln" to possibly fall into a "making up for last time" Oscar run that happens.

Future three-time Oscar winners?

So I'll go out on a limb and say "Lincoln" will get 12 to 13 nominations and win Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Art Direction, Score (the same 7 "Schindler's List" won), and maybe Actor for Daniel Day-Lewis.

There are three things hurting Day-Lewis from winning (albeit, this is a year out): 1) He won for "There Will Be Blood" in 2007, 2) He has two Oscars already, and 3) No actor has ever won for performing in a Spielberg film -- top-of-my-head guess is something like 0 for 9.

But it *is* Daniel Day-Lewis, and he *is* playing Lincoln, so it's hard to not get on the bandwagon.


Uncanny, really...
Let the 2012 Oscar season begin...

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